Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.665381 0.826736 0.999036 1.194873 1.409589 1.636329 1.892409
2025-02-16 0.461337 0.685872 0.946158 1.261559 1.625953 2.027460 2.497509
2025-02-23 0.336701 0.583354 0.888543 1.275561 1.738237 2.261432 2.886794
2025-03-02 0.219316 0.462766 0.788420 1.222167 1.758839 2.380932 3.138822
2025-03-09 0.132765 0.359623 0.691666 1.156829 1.751619 2.456816 3.330470
2025-03-16 0.080091 0.290150 0.627804 1.123395 1.775313 2.562759 3.551468
2025-03-23 0.054448 0.258058 0.611597 1.148693 1.869356 2.750852 3.867482
2025-03-30 0.032206 0.221491 0.582443 1.151897 1.931949 2.898334 4.133328
2025-04-06 0.014311 0.180189 0.538432 1.129147 1.957106 2.997016 4.338384
2025-04-13 0.008698 0.170475 0.546301 1.180551 2.079836 3.216962 4.690337
2025-04-20 0.004743 0.161661 0.554123 1.230972 2.200764 3.434456 5.039338
2025-04-27 0.002633 0.158222 0.571110 1.294853 2.339813 3.674930 5.416728
2025-05-04 0.001668 0.162221 0.605627 1.390999 2.530428 3.990214 5.898041
2025-05-11 0.000339 0.154221 0.615838 1.450270 2.672132 4.245635 6.308997
2025-05-18 NaN 0.135845 0.601527 1.469083 2.756454 4.426488 6.626766
2025-05-25 NaN 0.099986 0.541424 1.410408 2.729995 4.463154 6.764627
2025-06-01 NaN 0.067888 0.478083 1.340083 2.682821 4.469890 6.862625
2025-06-08 NaN 0.048201 0.437651 1.303809 2.681084 4.533256 7.029013
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041731 0.434030 1.331221 2.771680 4.718102 7.348473
2025-06-22 NaN 0.032637 0.417889 1.334681 2.826222 4.854717 7.606680
2025-06-29 NaN 0.021710 0.387847 1.310057 2.837559 4.932850 7.789999
2025-07-06 NaN 0.020997 0.400362 1.365674 2.969538 5.172799 8.179781
2025-07-13 NaN 0.020213 0.412269 1.420147 3.099907 5.410778 8.567327